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The Ryder Cup has long been painted with strokes of European dominance. However, the narrative has experienced a shift. While the Americans come into the 2023 event as reigning champions, boasting two victories in the past three tournaments, both wins were on home turf. It’s been three decades since they clinched a win on European soil, last achieving the feat in 1993 at The Belfry. With the backdrop of the stunning Marco Simone Golf Club, a venue making its Ryder Cup debut, World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler leads the U.S. challenge against a formidable European side headlined by the likes of Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm. The stage is set for a historic showdown once again.
Spanning three intense days, the 2023 Ryder Cup tees off with a flurry of activity on Friday, Sept. 29. The first day will witness four foursomes and four fourball clashes, each showcasing duos from opposing teams. As Saturday rolls around, another set of eight matches – split between foursomes and fourballs – will light up the course. The grand conclusion on Sunday unfolds with 12 thrilling singles matches, where every player has a chance to shine. Each match holds the potential of one point, but ties grant half a point to both groups. Out of 28 possible points, the American team aims for 14 to retain their reigning champion status, while the Europeans set their sights on 14.5 to clinch victory.
| Europe (Captain: Luke Donald) | U.S. (Captain: Zach Johnson) |
|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | Scottie Scheffler |
| Jon Rahm | Wyndham Clark |
| Robert MacIntyre | Brian Harman |
| Viktor Hovland | Patrick Cantlay |
| Tyrrell Hatton | Max Homa |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | Xander Schauffele |
| Tommy Fleetwood | Brooks Koepka |
| Sepp Straka | Jordan Spieth |
| Justin Rose | Collin Morikawa |
| Shane Lowry | Sam Burns |
| Nicolai Hojgaard | Rickie Fowler |
| Ludvig Aberg | Justin Thomas |
Over the gentle shift from summer to autumn, Stakers experts have observed an interesting trend in the market. While many predicted a new era of American dominance after their 2021 triumph, the European odds have steadily shortened over recent weeks. Wisconsin was painful for Europe, but there is now a real sense of confidence throughout the team. Adding to that, history also suggests the U.S. struggles on foreign soil, with its last overseas victory dating back 30 years.
The impact of home turf is debatable. While the U.S.’s six consecutive overseas losses seem less intimidating when spelt out, it’s essential to remember that a couple were nail-bitingly close. Arguments about Americans getting tripped up by slower greens or jet lag seem shaky, especially given many European stars’ familiarity with the PGA Tour. The real focus should be on the course.
Gathering insights from the golf experts at Stakers HQ, Marco Simone Golf & Country Club emerges as a course where strategic decisions will test golfers’ resolve. As it sprawls across approximately 7,181 yards, this par 71 course remains vulnerable to nature’s whims. We pick out some of the key aspects that might make or break the flow of the matches over the weekend:
Looking at the teams, the U.S. appears impressive throughout their roster. Their depth remains consistent, unlike Europe, which seems to taper after their 10th player. Yet, Europe’s top contenders, including McIlroy, Jon Rahm, and Viktor Hovland, dominate the global rankings.
Rewinding two years, there were concerns regarding Europe’s upcoming stars like Hatton, Fitzpatrick, and Fleetwood. Fast forward to today, and their performances have only soared. Fitzpatrick boasts a major title, Fleetwood’s game has sharpened, and Hatton nearly secured a win in his last outing. Add Shane Lowry’s ability to perform when it counts, and it’s clear that Europe’s fresher Ryder Cup faces might just be their secret weapon. While Europe might bid goodbye to some old guards in Westwood, Garcia, and the enigmatic Poulter, it might work to their advantage.
The Stakers experts have also spotlighted the rookies: Wyndham Clark from the U.S., ranked 10th globally, boasts two PGA Tour wins and eight top-10 finishes. Meanwhile, Ludvig Aberg is the European sensation. Despite turning pro recently, Aberg’s secured a significant victory at the Omega European Masters and showed consistent performance on the PGA Tour. Given his ability, Team Europe’s captain, Luke Donald, is anticipated to utilise Aberg’s skills extensively in the 2023 Ryder Cup.
Anticipation is building around the idea of Europe maintaining a lead each day and ultimately seizing victory. It’s evident that Europe could possess the sharper edge on the opening day. Captain Luke Donald, it appears, may employ a strategy using his strongest and most seasoned players for the foursomes. This move is reminiscent of Europe’s 1993 strategy, interestingly the last time the USA clinched a win on European soil. While superstitious fans may draw parallels, the analytic duo of Donald and Molinari are set to make data-backed decisions.
Our discussions lean towards Europe clinching a win with a margin of 1-3 points. Though the market may slightly favour the U.S., there is growing confidence in Europe’s victory. We think all eyes are on Europe for a triumphant comeback!
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